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Hawks at Warriors · Mon, Mar 22 · 10:00 PM ET

Atlanta at Golden State. Here is where each team has the edge.

AtlantaGolden State

10:00 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Hawks edges

No clear mismatch in Atlanta's favor.

Warriors edges

No clear mismatch in Golden State's favor.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
ATLRankStatRankGSW
117.114thOffensive rating18th115.8
114.79thDefensive rating17th116.4
+2.412thNet rating20th-0.6
100.77thPace18th98.3
55.410thEffective FG %13th54.9
11.79thTurnover %27th13.3
24.420thOffensive rebound %14th25.8
18.126thFree throw rate23rd19.2
54.618thOpponent eFG %20th55.3
13.26thForced turnover %4th13.5
74.59thDefensive rebound %22nd72.9
20.615thOpponent FT rate12th19.8

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Hawks3-7 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L

Warriors2-8 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L

2025-26 series: Sun, Jan 11 ATL 124, GSW 111 · Sat, Mar 21 GSW 110, ATL 126

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers