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Hawks at Mavericks · Mon, Mar 15 · 9:30 PM ET

Atlanta at Dallas. Here is where each team has the edge.

AtlantaDallas

9:30 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Hawks edges

No clear mismatch in Atlanta's favor.

Mavericks edges

  • On defenseDallas' defense defends without fouling (2nd) against an Atlanta offense that rarely gets to the line (26th).

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
ATLRankStatRankDAL
117.114thOffensive rating27th111.9
114.79thDefensive rating20th117.3
+2.412thNet rating23rd-5.4
100.77thPace4th101.1
55.410thEffective FG %27th52.7
11.79thTurnover %14th12.1
24.420thOffensive rebound %26th23.2
18.126thFree throw rate9th21.7
54.618thOpponent eFG %18th54.6
13.26thForced turnover %28th10.9
74.59thDefensive rebound %15th74.1
20.615thOpponent FT rate2nd18.3

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Hawks3-7 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L

Mavericks3-7 in the last 10

  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L

2025-26 series: Tue, Mar 10 DAL 112, ATL 124 · Wed, Mar 18 ATL 135, DAL 120

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers