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Grizzlies at Hawks · Thu, Mar 4 · 7:30 PM ET

Memphis at Atlanta. Here is where each team has the edge.

MemphisAtlanta

7:30 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Grizzlies edges

No clear mismatch in Memphis' favor.

Hawks edges

No clear mismatch in Atlanta's favor.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
MEMRankStatRankATL
113.525thOffensive rating14th117.1
119.523rdDefensive rating9th114.7
-6.024thNet rating12th+2.4
100.85thPace7th100.7
53.323rdEffective FG %10th55.4
12.722ndTurnover %9th11.7
24.719thOffensive rebound %20th24.4
19.919thFree throw rate26th18.1
56.226thOpponent eFG %18th54.6
12.88thForced turnover %6th13.2
70.929thDefensive rebound %9th74.5
20.314thOpponent FT rate15th20.6

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Grizzlies1-9 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L

Hawks3-7 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L

2025-26 series: Wed, Jan 21 ATL 124, MEM 122 · Mon, Mar 23 MEM 107, ATL 146

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers