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Heat at Pistons · Thu, Feb 25 · 7:00 PM ET

Miami at Detroit. Here is where each team has the edge.

MiamiDetroit

7:00 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Heat edges

No clear mismatch in Miami's favor.

Pistons edges

No clear mismatch in Detroit's favor.

Key battles

  • Miami's offense protects the ball (4th), but Detroit's defense forces turnovers (1st). Watch the turnovers.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
MIARankStatRankDET
117.513thOffensive rating9th119.0
115.212thDefensive rating2nd110.8
+2.313thNet rating3rd+8.2
102.81stPace18th98.3
54.217thEffective FG %15th54.6
11.24thTurnover %16th12.3
25.417thOffensive rebound %3rd30.9
21.214thFree throw rate5th22.3
54.07thOpponent eFG %1st51.7
12.217thForced turnover %1st14.1
74.98thDefensive rebound %14th74.2
19.39thOpponent FT rate30th25.1

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Heat4-6 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L

Pistons6-4 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W

2025-26 series: Sat, Nov 29 DET 138, MIA 135 · Thu, Jan 1 MIA 118, DET 112 · Sun, Mar 8 DET 110, MIA 121

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers