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Pistons at Nuggets · Sun, Jan 3 · 5:00 PM ET

Detroit at Denver. Here is where each team has the edge.

DetroitDenver

5:00 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Pistons edges

No clear mismatch in Detroit's favor.

Nuggets edges

  • On offenseDenver's offense gets to the line (4th) against a Detroit defense that sends opponents to the line (30th).

Key battles

  • Denver's offense shoots efficiently (1st), but Detroit's defense contests every shot (1st). Watch the shooting.
  • Denver's offense protects the ball (3rd), but Detroit's defense forces turnovers (1st). Watch the turnovers.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
DETRankStatRankDEN
119.09thOffensive rating1st123.4
110.82ndDefensive rating21st118.2
+8.23rdNet rating7th+5.2
98.318thPace20th97.7
54.615thEffective FG %1st57.7
12.316thTurnover %3rd10.9
30.93rdOffensive rebound %24th23.6
22.35thFree throw rate4th23.7
51.71stOpponent eFG %14th54.3
14.11stForced turnover %30th10.0
74.214thDefensive rebound %7th75.3
25.130thOpponent FT rate10th19.6

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Pistons6-4 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W

Nuggets6-4 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W

2025-26 series: Tue, Jan 27 DET 109, DEN 107 · Tue, Feb 3 DEN 121, DET 124

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers