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Thunder at Hawks · Sun, Dec 20 · 7:00 PM ET

Oklahoma City at Atlanta. Here is where each team has the edge.

Oklahoma CityAtlanta

7:00 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Thunder edges

  • On defenseOklahoma City's defense defends without fouling (3rd) against an Atlanta offense that rarely gets to the line (26th).

Hawks edges

No clear mismatch in Atlanta's favor.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
OKCRankStatRankATL
119.87thOffensive rating14th117.1
108.51stDefensive rating9th114.7
+11.21stNet rating12th+2.4
98.516thPace7th100.7
56.14thEffective FG %10th55.4
10.82ndTurnover %9th11.7
22.328thOffensive rebound %20th24.4
21.313thFree throw rate26th18.1
51.92ndOpponent eFG %18th54.6
14.02ndForced turnover %6th13.2
74.411thDefensive rebound %9th74.5
18.43rdOpponent FT rate15th20.6

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Thunder6-4 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W

Hawks3-7 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L

2025-26 series: Sat, Oct 25 OKC 117, ATL 100 · Mon, Dec 29 ATL 129, OKC 140

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers