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Hawks at Nuggets · Thu, Dec 17 · 9:00 PM ET

Atlanta at Denver. Here is where each team has the edge.

AtlantaDenver

9:00 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Hawks edges

No clear mismatch in Atlanta's favor.

Nuggets edges

No clear mismatch in Denver's favor.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
ATLRankStatRankDEN
117.114thOffensive rating1st123.4
114.79thDefensive rating21st118.2
+2.412thNet rating7th+5.2
100.77thPace20th97.7
55.410thEffective FG %1st57.7
11.79thTurnover %3rd10.9
24.420thOffensive rebound %24th23.6
18.126thFree throw rate4th23.7
54.618thOpponent eFG %14th54.3
13.26thForced turnover %30th10.0
74.59thDefensive rebound %7th75.3
20.615thOpponent FT rate10th19.6

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Hawks3-7 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L

Nuggets6-4 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W

2025-26 series: Fri, Dec 5 DEN 134, ATL 133 · Fri, Jan 9 ATL 110, DEN 87

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers