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Heat at Nuggets · Wed, Nov 5 · Regular season

Denver beat Miami, 122⁠-⁠112. Here is how the win chance moved.

Miami112Denver122

Final · NOV 5
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Win chance

Loading the win-chance line…

Above the middle line the home team is favored, below it the road team. How this works

01Box score

Updated 1:11 PM ET

Miami Heat

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVFG3PFT+/-
Andrew Wiggins F-G3222452109-133-41-2-1
Davion Mitchell G3110390034-61-21-2-1
Norman Powell F-G3123201035-154-89-9-5
Kel'el Ware C27131304114-62-43-4-14
Jaime Jaquez Jr. G2621321019-141-52-2-5
Pelle Larsson G246330011-40-34-4-8
Nikola Jovic F205330031-61-42-2-8
Dru Smith G175223102-61-40-0-9
Simone Fontecchio F165221112-71-20-0-2
Keshad Johnson F90201010-40-30-0-1
Bam Adebayo C-F82100001-50-20-0+4
Team11238261341438-8614-4122-25

Denver Nuggets

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVFG3PFT+/-
Nikola Jokic C3733151630312-182-57-8+18
Christian Braun G3511872105-140-31-1+14
Jamal Murray G3414832124-151-85-5+6
Aaron Gordon F3124611039-161-55-6+8
Bruce Brown G285322032-71-30-0+3
Tim Hardaway Jr. G2418300017-124-90-0-1
Cameron Johnson F239210003-102-51-2+8
Peyton Watson G1821030220-40-12-2+2
Jonas Valanciunas C116600021-50-14-4-8
Team12261331041643-10111-4025-28

02Top performers

Pre-game matchup: edges and tale of the tape

03Where the edges are

2025-26 so far

Heat edges

  • On offenseMiami's offense protects the ball (4th) against a Denver defense that rarely forces turnovers (30th).

Nuggets edges

No clear mismatch in Denver's favor.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

04Tale of the tape

2025-26 so far
MIARankStatRankDEN
117.513thOffensive rating1st123.4
115.212thDefensive rating21st118.2
+2.313thNet rating7th+5.2
102.81stPace20th97.7
54.217thEffective FG %1st57.7
11.24thTurnover %3rd10.9
25.417thOffensive rebound %24th23.6
21.214thFree throw rate4th23.7
54.07thOpponent eFG %14th54.3
12.217thForced turnover %30th10.0
74.98thDefensive rebound %7th75.3
19.39thOpponent FT rate10th19.6