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Timberwolves at Mavericks · Sun, Apr 4 · 3:00 PM ET

Minnesota at Dallas. Here is where each team has the edge.

MinnesotaDallas

3:00 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Timberwolves edges

  • On defenseMinnesota's defense contests every shot (5th) against a Dallas offense that struggles to shoot (27th).

Mavericks edges

No clear mismatch in Dallas' favor.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
MINRankStatRankDAL
117.612thOffensive rating27th111.9
114.38thDefensive rating20th117.3
+3.310thNet rating23rd-5.4
99.89thPace4th101.1
55.96thEffective FG %27th52.7
12.418thTurnover %14th12.1
25.715thOffensive rebound %26th23.2
21.510thFree throw rate9th21.7
52.95thOpponent eFG %18th54.6
12.414thForced turnover %28th10.9
73.720thDefensive rebound %15th74.1
22.024thOpponent FT rate2nd18.3

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Timberwolves5-5 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W

Mavericks3-7 in the last 10

  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L

2025-26 series: Mon, Nov 17 DAL 96, MIN 120 · Wed, Jan 28 MIN 118, DAL 105 · Fri, Feb 20 DAL 111, MIN 122 · Mon, Mar 30 MIN 124, DAL 94

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers