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Nuggets at Mavericks · Wed, Mar 31 · 9:30 PM ET

Denver at Dallas. Here is where each team has the edge.

DenverDallas

9:30 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Nuggets edges

  • On offenseDenver's offense protects the ball (3rd) against a Dallas defense that rarely forces turnovers (28th).

Mavericks edges

No clear mismatch in Dallas' favor.

Key battles

  • Denver's offense gets to the line (4th), but Dallas' defense defends without fouling (2nd). Watch the free throws.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
DENRankStatRankDAL
123.41stOffensive rating27th111.9
118.221stDefensive rating20th117.3
+5.27thNet rating23rd-5.4
97.720thPace4th101.1
57.71stEffective FG %27th52.7
10.93rdTurnover %14th12.1
23.624thOffensive rebound %26th23.2
23.74thFree throw rate9th21.7
54.314thOpponent eFG %18th54.6
10.030thForced turnover %28th10.9
75.37thDefensive rebound %15th74.1
19.610thOpponent FT rate2nd18.3

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Nuggets6-4 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W

Mavericks3-7 in the last 10

  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L

2025-26 series: Mon, Dec 1 DAL 131, DEN 121 · Tue, Dec 23 DEN 130, DAL 131 · Wed, Jan 14 DEN 118, DAL 109 · Wed, Mar 25 DAL 135, DEN 142

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers