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Magic at Timberwolves · Fri, Mar 26 · 8:00 PM ET

Orlando at Minnesota. Here is where each team has the edge.

OrlandoMinnesota

8:00 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Magic edges

  • On offenseOrlando's offense gets to the line (1st) against a Minnesota defense that sends opponents to the line (24th).

Timberwolves edges

  • On defenseMinnesota's defense contests every shot (5th) against an Orlando offense that struggles to shoot (25th).

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
ORLRankStatRankMIN
115.619thOffensive rating12th117.6
115.010thDefensive rating8th114.3
+0.617thNet rating10th+3.3
99.312thPace9th99.8
53.125thEffective FG %6th55.9
12.012thTurnover %18th12.4
25.018thOffensive rebound %15th25.7
24.91stFree throw rate10th21.5
54.516thOpponent eFG %5th52.9
12.611thForced turnover %14th12.4
75.65thDefensive rebound %20th73.7
22.326thOpponent FT rate24th22.0

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Magic4-6 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L

Timberwolves5-5 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W

2025-26 series: Sat, Mar 7 ORL 119, MIN 92 · Wed, Apr 8 MIN 120, ORL 132

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers