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Heat at Trail Blazers · Wed, Mar 17 · 10:00 PM ET

Miami at Portland. Here is where each team has the edge.

MiamiPortland

10:00 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Heat edges

No clear mismatch in Miami's favor.

Trail Blazers edges

No clear mismatch in Portland's favor.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
MIARankStatRankPOR
117.513thOffensive rating21st115.3
115.212thDefensive rating14th115.6
+2.313thNet rating19th-0.3
102.81stPace9th99.8
54.217thEffective FG %22nd53.4
11.24thTurnover %30th14.0
25.417thOffensive rebound %2nd31.3
21.214thFree throw rate12th21.4
54.07thOpponent eFG %10th54.1
12.217thForced turnover %7th13.0
74.98thDefensive rebound %25th72.7
19.39thOpponent FT rate19th21.5

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Heat4-6 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L

Trail Blazers4-6 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L

2025-26 series: Sat, Nov 8 POR 131, MIA 136 · Thu, Jan 22 MIA 110, POR 127

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers