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Thunder at Celtics · Fri, Mar 12 · 7:30 PM ET

Oklahoma City at Boston. Here is where each team has the edge.

Oklahoma CityBoston

7:30 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Thunder edges

  • On defenseOklahoma City's defense defends without fouling (3rd) against a Boston offense that rarely gets to the line (29th).
  • On offenseOklahoma City's offense protects the ball (2nd) against a Boston defense that rarely forces turnovers (26th).

Celtics edges

  • On defenseBoston's defense cleans the defensive glass (4th) against an Oklahoma City offense that rarely gets second chances (28th).

Key battles

  • Boston's offense protects the ball (1st), but Oklahoma City's defense forces turnovers (2nd). Watch the turnovers.
  • Oklahoma City's offense shoots efficiently (4th), but Boston's defense contests every shot (4th). Watch the shooting.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
OKCRankStatRankBOS
119.87thOffensive rating2nd121.7
108.51stDefensive rating4th113.5
+11.21stNet rating3rd+8.2
98.516thPace30th94.2
56.14thEffective FG %11th55.3
10.82ndTurnover %1st10.5
22.328thOffensive rebound %6th29.2
21.313thFree throw rate29th16.7
51.92ndOpponent eFG %4th52.3
14.02ndForced turnover %26th11.0
74.411thDefensive rebound %4th75.7
18.43rdOpponent FT rate5th18.9

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Thunder6-4 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W

Celtics5-5 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L

2025-26 series: Thu, Mar 12 BOS 102, OKC 104 · Wed, Mar 25 OKC 109, BOS 119

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers