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Thunder at Raptors · Wed, Mar 10 · 7:30 PM ET

Oklahoma City at Toronto. Here is where each team has the edge.

Oklahoma CityToronto

7:30 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Thunder edges

No clear mismatch in Oklahoma City's favor.

Raptors edges

No clear mismatch in Toronto's favor.

Key battles

  • Oklahoma City's offense protects the ball (2nd), but Toronto's defense forces turnovers (4th). Watch the turnovers.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
OKCRankStatRankTOR
119.87thOffensive rating15th117.0
108.51stDefensive rating5th114.1
+11.21stNet rating11th+2.9
98.516thPace22nd97.5
56.14thEffective FG %15th54.6
10.82ndTurnover %7th11.5
22.328thOffensive rebound %16th25.5
21.313thFree throw rate17th20.4
51.92ndOpponent eFG %7th54.0
14.02ndForced turnover %4th13.5
74.411thDefensive rebound %18th74.0
18.43rdOpponent FT rate25th22.2

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Thunder6-4 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W

Raptors5-5 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W

2025-26 series: Sun, Jan 25 TOR 103, OKC 101 · Tue, Feb 24 OKC 116, TOR 107

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers