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Nuggets at Kings · Mon, Mar 8 · 10:00 PM ET

Denver at Sacramento. Here is where each team has the edge.

DenverSacramento

10:00 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Nuggets edges

  • On offenseDenver's offense shoots efficiently (1st) against a Sacramento defense that gives up good looks (29th).

Kings edges

No clear mismatch in Sacramento's favor.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
DENRankStatRankSAC
123.41stOffensive rating26th112.2
118.221stDefensive rating28th122.3
+5.27thNet rating28th-10.1
97.720thPace16th98.5
57.71stEffective FG %29th52.5
10.93rdTurnover %15th12.2
23.624thOffensive rebound %13th25.9
23.74thFree throw rate21st19.8
54.314thOpponent eFG %29th57.2
10.030thForced turnover %19th11.8
75.37thDefensive rebound %21st73.5
19.610thOpponent FT rate21st21.6

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Nuggets6-4 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W

Kings3-7 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L

2025-26 series: Mon, Nov 3 SAC 124, DEN 130 · Tue, Nov 11 DEN 122, SAC 108 · Sat, Nov 22 SAC 128, DEN 123 · Thu, Dec 11 DEN 136, SAC 105

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers