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Spurs at Rockets · Fri, Mar 5 · 9:30 PM ET

San Antonio at Houston. Here is where each team has the edge.

San AntonioHouston

9:30 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Spurs edges

No clear mismatch in San Antonio's favor.

Rockets edges

No clear mismatch in Houston's favor.

Key battles

  • Houston's offense crashes the offensive glass (1st), but San Antonio's defense cleans the defensive glass (1st). Watch the rebounding.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
SASRankStatRankHOU
120.54thOffensive rating8th119.6
112.23rdDefensive rating7th114.2
+8.42ndNet rating6th+5.4
99.113thPace29th95.2
55.96thEffective FG %17th54.2
11.24thTurnover %20th12.6
26.210thOffensive rebound %1st34.8
21.510thFree throw rate19th19.9
52.23rdOpponent eFG %6th53.0
11.026thForced turnover %21st11.6
77.31stDefensive rebound %9th74.5
18.01stOpponent FT rate5th18.9

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Spurs4-6 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L

Rockets5-5 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W

2025-26 series: Fri, Nov 7 HOU 110, SAS 121 · Tue, Jan 20 SAS 106, HOU 111 · Wed, Jan 28 SAS 111, HOU 99 · Sun, Mar 8 HOU 120, SAS 145

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers