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Wizards at Warriors · Thu, Mar 4 · 10:00 PM ET

Washington at Golden State. Here is where each team has the edge.

WashingtonGolden State

10:00 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Wizards edges

No clear mismatch in Washington's favor.

Warriors edges

  • On defenseGolden State's defense forces turnovers (4th) against a Washington offense that turns it over (26th).

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
WASRankStatRankGSW
111.629thOffensive rating18th115.8
123.430thDefensive rating17th116.4
-11.830thNet rating20th-0.6
100.85thPace18th98.3
53.521stEffective FG %13th54.9
13.226thTurnover %27th13.3
24.121stOffensive rebound %14th25.8
18.027thFree throw rate23rd19.2
56.327thOpponent eFG %20th55.3
11.222ndForced turnover %4th13.5
70.230thDefensive rebound %22nd72.9
23.229thOpponent FT rate12th19.8

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Wizards0-10 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L

Warriors2-8 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L

2025-26 series: Mon, Mar 16 GSW 125, WAS 117 · Fri, Mar 27 WAS 126, GSW 131

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers