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Pacers at Magic · Thu, Mar 4 · 7:00 PM ET

Indiana at Orlando. Here is where each team has the edge.

IndianaOrlando

7:00 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Pacers edges

No clear mismatch in Indiana's favor.

Magic edges

  • On defenseOrlando's defense cleans the defensive glass (5th) against an Indiana offense that rarely gets second chances (29th).
  • On offenseOrlando's offense gets to the line (1st) against an Indiana defense that sends opponents to the line (23rd).

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
INDRankStatRankORL
111.728thOffensive rating19th115.6
119.624thDefensive rating10th115.0
-7.926thNet rating17th+0.6
100.38thPace12th99.3
53.323rdEffective FG %25th53.1
12.316thTurnover %12th12.0
21.729thOffensive rebound %18th25.0
19.622ndFree throw rate1st24.9
55.624thOpponent eFG %16th54.5
11.222ndForced turnover %11th12.6
74.115thDefensive rebound %5th75.6
21.823rdOpponent FT rate26th22.3

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Pacers3-7 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L

Magic4-6 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L

2025-26 series: Wed, Dec 31 ORL 112, IND 110 · Sun, Jan 4 IND 127, ORL 135 · Mon, Mar 23 IND 128, ORL 126

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers