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Timberwolves at Thunder · Tue, Mar 2 · 8:00 PM ET

Minnesota at Oklahoma City. Here is where each team has the edge.

MinnesotaOklahoma City

8:00 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Timberwolves edges

No clear mismatch in Minnesota's favor.

Thunder edges

No clear mismatch in Oklahoma City's favor.

Key battles

  • Oklahoma City's offense shoots efficiently (4th), but Minnesota's defense contests every shot (5th). Watch the shooting.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
MINRankStatRankOKC
117.612thOffensive rating7th119.8
114.38thDefensive rating1st108.5
+3.310thNet rating1st+11.2
99.89thPace16th98.5
55.96thEffective FG %4th56.1
12.418thTurnover %2nd10.8
25.715thOffensive rebound %28th22.3
21.510thFree throw rate13th21.3
52.95thOpponent eFG %2nd51.9
12.414thForced turnover %2nd14.0
73.720thDefensive rebound %11th74.4
22.024thOpponent FT rate3rd18.4

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Timberwolves5-5 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W

Thunder6-4 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W

2025-26 series: Wed, Nov 26 MIN 105, OKC 113 · Fri, Dec 19 OKC 107, MIN 112 · Thu, Jan 29 OKC 111, MIN 123 · Sun, Mar 15 MIN 103, OKC 116

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers