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Nuggets at Spurs · Sun, Feb 28 · 1:00 PM ET

Denver at San Antonio. Here is where each team has the edge.

DenverSan Antonio

1:00 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Nuggets edges

  • On offenseDenver's offense protects the ball (3rd) against a San Antonio defense that rarely forces turnovers (26th).

Spurs edges

  • On offenseSan Antonio's offense protects the ball (4th) against a Denver defense that rarely forces turnovers (30th).
  • On defenseSan Antonio's defense cleans the defensive glass (1st) against a Denver offense that rarely gets second chances (24th).

Key battles

  • Denver's offense shoots efficiently (1st), but San Antonio's defense contests every shot (3rd). Watch the shooting.
  • Denver's offense gets to the line (4th), but San Antonio's defense defends without fouling (1st). Watch the free throws.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
DENRankStatRankSAS
123.41stOffensive rating4th120.5
118.221stDefensive rating3rd112.2
+5.27thNet rating2nd+8.4
97.720thPace13th99.1
57.71stEffective FG %6th55.9
10.93rdTurnover %4th11.2
23.624thOffensive rebound %10th26.2
23.74thFree throw rate10th21.5
54.314thOpponent eFG %3rd52.2
10.030thForced turnover %26th11.0
75.37thDefensive rebound %1st77.3
19.610thOpponent FT rate1st18.0

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Nuggets6-4 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W

Spurs4-6 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L

2025-26 series: Fri, Nov 28 SAS 139, DEN 136 · Thu, Mar 12 DEN 136, SAS 131 · Sat, Apr 4 SAS 134, DEN 136 · Sun, Apr 12 DEN 128, SAS 118

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers