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Magic at Thunder · Mon, Feb 15 · 8:00 PM ET

Orlando at Oklahoma City. Here is where each team has the edge.

Magic reportThunder report

OrlandoOklahoma City

8:00 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Magic edges

  • On defenseOrlando's defense cleans the defensive glass (5th) against an Oklahoma City offense that rarely gets second chances (28th).

Thunder edges

  • On defenseOklahoma City's defense contests every shot (2nd) against an Orlando offense that struggles to shoot (25th).

Key battles

  • Orlando's offense gets to the line (1st), but Oklahoma City's defense defends without fouling (3rd). Watch the free throws.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
ORLRankStatRankOKC
115.619thOffensive rating7th119.8
115.010thDefensive rating1st108.5
+0.617thNet rating1st+11.2
99.312thPace16th98.5
53.125thEffective FG %4th56.1
12.012thTurnover %2nd10.8
25.018thOffensive rebound %28th22.3
24.91stFree throw rate13th21.3
54.516thOpponent eFG %2nd51.9
12.611thForced turnover %2nd14.0
75.65thDefensive rebound %11th74.4
22.326thOpponent FT rate3rd18.4

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Magic4-6 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L

Thunder6-4 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W

2025-26 series: Tue, Feb 3 ORL 92, OKC 128 · Tue, Mar 17 OKC 113, ORL 108

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers