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Spurs at Heat · Mon, Feb 15 · 5:00 PM ET

San Antonio at Miami. Here is where each team has the edge.

San AntonioMiami

5:00 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Spurs edges

No clear mismatch in San Antonio's favor.

Heat edges

  • On offenseMiami's offense protects the ball (4th) against a San Antonio defense that rarely forces turnovers (26th).

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
SASRankStatRankMIA
120.54thOffensive rating13th117.5
112.23rdDefensive rating12th115.2
+8.42ndNet rating13th+2.3
99.113thPace1st102.8
55.96thEffective FG %17th54.2
11.24thTurnover %4th11.2
26.210thOffensive rebound %17th25.4
21.510thFree throw rate14th21.2
52.23rdOpponent eFG %7th54.0
11.026thForced turnover %17th12.2
77.31stDefensive rebound %8th74.9
18.01stOpponent FT rate9th19.3

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Spurs4-6 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L

Heat4-6 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L

2025-26 series: Thu, Oct 30 MIA 101, SAS 107 · Mon, Mar 23 SAS 136, MIA 111

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers