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Mavericks at Nuggets · Thu, Feb 4 · 10:00 PM ET

Dallas at Denver. Here is where each team has the edge.

DallasDenver

10:00 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Mavericks edges

No clear mismatch in Dallas' favor.

Nuggets edges

  • On offenseDenver's offense protects the ball (3rd) against a Dallas defense that rarely forces turnovers (28th).

Key battles

  • Denver's offense gets to the line (4th), but Dallas' defense defends without fouling (2nd). Watch the free throws.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
DALRankStatRankDEN
111.927thOffensive rating1st123.4
117.320thDefensive rating21st118.2
-5.423rdNet rating7th+5.2
101.14thPace20th97.7
52.727thEffective FG %1st57.7
12.114thTurnover %3rd10.9
23.226thOffensive rebound %24th23.6
21.79thFree throw rate4th23.7
54.618thOpponent eFG %14th54.3
10.928thForced turnover %30th10.0
74.115thDefensive rebound %7th75.3
18.32ndOpponent FT rate10th19.6

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Mavericks3-7 in the last 10

  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L

Nuggets6-4 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W

2025-26 series: Mon, Dec 1 DAL 131, DEN 121 · Tue, Dec 23 DEN 130, DAL 131 · Wed, Jan 14 DEN 118, DAL 109 · Wed, Mar 25 DAL 135, DEN 142

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers