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Thunder at Nuggets · Tue, Feb 2 · 9:00 PM ET

Oklahoma City at Denver. Here is where each team has the edge.

Oklahoma CityDenver

9:00 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Thunder edges

  • On offenseOklahoma City's offense protects the ball (2nd) against a Denver defense that rarely forces turnovers (30th).

Nuggets edges

No clear mismatch in Denver's favor.

Key battles

  • Denver's offense shoots efficiently (1st), but Oklahoma City's defense contests every shot (2nd). Watch the shooting.
  • Denver's offense protects the ball (3rd), but Oklahoma City's defense forces turnovers (2nd). Watch the turnovers.
  • Denver's offense gets to the line (4th), but Oklahoma City's defense defends without fouling (3rd). Watch the free throws.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
OKCRankStatRankDEN
119.87thOffensive rating1st123.4
108.51stDefensive rating21st118.2
+11.21stNet rating7th+5.2
98.516thPace20th97.7
56.14thEffective FG %1st57.7
10.82ndTurnover %3rd10.9
22.328thOffensive rebound %24th23.6
21.313thFree throw rate4th23.7
51.92ndOpponent eFG %14th54.3
14.02ndForced turnover %30th10.0
74.411thDefensive rebound %7th75.3
18.43rdOpponent FT rate10th19.6

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Thunder6-4 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W

Nuggets6-4 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W

2025-26 series: Sun, Feb 1 OKC 121, DEN 111 · Fri, Feb 27 DEN 121, OKC 127 · Mon, Mar 9 DEN 126, OKC 129 · Fri, Apr 10 OKC 107, DEN 127

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers