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Heat at Pacers · Mon, Feb 1 · 7:30 PM ET

Miami at Indiana. Here is where each team has the edge.

MiamiIndiana

7:30 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Heat edges

No clear mismatch in Miami's favor.

Pacers edges

No clear mismatch in Indiana's favor.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
MIARankStatRankIND
117.513thOffensive rating28th111.7
115.212thDefensive rating24th119.6
+2.313thNet rating26th-7.9
102.81stPace8th100.3
54.217thEffective FG %23rd53.3
11.24thTurnover %16th12.3
25.417thOffensive rebound %29th21.7
21.214thFree throw rate22nd19.6
54.07thOpponent eFG %24th55.6
12.217thForced turnover %22nd11.2
74.98thDefensive rebound %15th74.1
19.39thOpponent FT rate23rd21.8

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Heat4-6 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L

Pacers3-7 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L

2025-26 series: Sat, Dec 27 IND 116, MIA 142 · Sat, Jan 10 MIA 99, IND 123 · Sun, Mar 29 MIA 118, IND 135

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers