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Rockets at Mavericks · Sun, Jan 31 · 8:30 PM ET

Houston at Dallas. Here is where each team has the edge.

HoustonDallas

8:30 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Rockets edges

No clear mismatch in Houston's favor.

Mavericks edges

No clear mismatch in Dallas' favor.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
HOURankStatRankDAL
119.68thOffensive rating27th111.9
114.27thDefensive rating20th117.3
+5.46thNet rating23rd-5.4
95.229thPace4th101.1
54.217thEffective FG %27th52.7
12.620thTurnover %14th12.1
34.81stOffensive rebound %26th23.2
19.919thFree throw rate9th21.7
53.06thOpponent eFG %18th54.6
11.621stForced turnover %28th10.9
74.59thDefensive rebound %15th74.1
18.95thOpponent FT rate2nd18.3

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Rockets5-5 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W

Mavericks3-7 in the last 10

  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L

2025-26 series: Mon, Nov 3 DAL 102, HOU 110 · Sat, Dec 6 HOU 109, DAL 122 · Sat, Jan 3 HOU 104, DAL 110 · Sat, Jan 31 DAL 107, HOU 111

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers