Skip to content

Thunder at Warriors · Sun, Jan 24 · 8:30 PM ET

Oklahoma City at Golden State. Here is where each team has the edge.

Oklahoma CityGolden State

8:30 PM ET
Loading
Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

Loading win probability…

01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Thunder edges

  • On defenseOklahoma City's defense forces turnovers (2nd) against a Golden State offense that turns it over (27th).
  • On defenseOklahoma City's defense defends without fouling (3rd) against a Golden State offense that rarely gets to the line (23rd).

Warriors edges

No clear mismatch in Golden State's favor.

Key battles

  • Oklahoma City's offense protects the ball (2nd), but Golden State's defense forces turnovers (4th). Watch the turnovers.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
OKCRankStatRankGSW
119.87thOffensive rating18th115.8
108.51stDefensive rating17th116.4
+11.21stNet rating20th-0.6
98.516thPace18th98.3
56.14thEffective FG %13th54.9
10.82ndTurnover %27th13.3
22.328thOffensive rebound %14th25.8
21.313thFree throw rate23rd19.2
51.92ndOpponent eFG %20th55.3
14.02ndForced turnover %4th13.5
74.411thDefensive rebound %22nd72.9
18.43rdOpponent FT rate12th19.8

Game plan

Loading game plan…

03Form and season series

Thunder6-4 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W

Warriors2-8 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L

2025-26 series: Tue, Nov 11 GSW 102, OKC 126 · Tue, Dec 2 OKC 124, GSW 112 · Fri, Jan 2 OKC 131, GSW 94 · Sat, Mar 7 GSW 97, OKC 104

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers