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Bucks at Warriors · Fri, Jan 22 · 10:00 PM ET

Milwaukee at Golden State. Here is where each team has the edge.

MilwaukeeGolden State

10:00 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Bucks edges

No clear mismatch in Milwaukee's favor.

Warriors edges

  • On defenseGolden State's defense forces turnovers (4th) against a Milwaukee offense that turns it over (27th).

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
MILRankStatRankGSW
113.923rdOffensive rating18th115.8
120.227thDefensive rating17th116.4
-6.425thNet rating20th-0.6
96.823rdPace18th98.3
56.53rdEffective FG %13th54.9
13.327thTurnover %27th13.3
21.130thOffensive rebound %14th25.8
16.330thFree throw rate23rd19.2
55.825thOpponent eFG %20th55.3
11.125thForced turnover %4th13.5
74.115thDefensive rebound %22nd72.9
21.519thOpponent FT rate12th19.8

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Bucks3-7 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L

Warriors2-8 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L

2025-26 series: Thu, Oct 30 GSW 110, MIL 120 · Wed, Jan 7 MIL 113, GSW 120

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers