Skip to content

Wizards at Nuggets · Thu, Jan 21 · 9:00 PM ET

Washington at Denver. Here is where each team has the edge.

WashingtonDenver

9:00 PM ET
Loading
Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

Loading win probability…

01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Wizards edges

No clear mismatch in Washington's favor.

Nuggets edges

  • On offenseDenver's offense shoots efficiently (1st) against a Washington defense that gives up good looks (27th).
  • On offenseDenver's offense gets to the line (4th) against a Washington defense that sends opponents to the line (29th).

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
WASRankStatRankDEN
111.629thOffensive rating1st123.4
123.430thDefensive rating21st118.2
-11.830thNet rating7th+5.2
100.85thPace20th97.7
53.521stEffective FG %1st57.7
13.226thTurnover %3rd10.9
24.121stOffensive rebound %24th23.6
18.027thFree throw rate4th23.7
56.327thOpponent eFG %14th54.3
11.222ndForced turnover %30th10.0
70.230thDefensive rebound %7th75.3
23.229thOpponent FT rate10th19.6

Game plan

Loading game plan…

03Form and season series

Wizards0-10 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L

Nuggets6-4 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W

2025-26 series: Sat, Jan 17 WAS 115, DEN 121 · Thu, Jan 22 DEN 107, WAS 97

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers