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Rockets at Celtics · Mon, Jan 11 · 7:30 PM ET

Houston at Boston. Here is where each team has the edge.

Rockets reportCeltics report

HoustonBoston

7:30 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Rockets edges

  • On defenseHouston's defense defends without fouling (5th) against a Boston offense that rarely gets to the line (29th).

Celtics edges

No clear mismatch in Boston's favor.

Key battles

  • Houston's offense crashes the offensive glass (1st), but Boston's defense cleans the defensive glass (4th). Watch the rebounding.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
HOURankStatRankBOS
119.68thOffensive rating2nd121.7
114.27thDefensive rating4th113.5
+5.46thNet rating3rd+8.2
95.229thPace30th94.2
54.217thEffective FG %11th55.3
12.620thTurnover %1st10.5
34.81stOffensive rebound %6th29.2
19.919thFree throw rate29th16.7
53.06thOpponent eFG %4th52.3
11.621stForced turnover %26th11.0
74.59thDefensive rebound %4th75.7
18.95thOpponent FT rate5th18.9

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Rockets5-5 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W

Celtics5-5 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L

2025-26 series: Sat, Nov 1 HOU 128, BOS 101 · Wed, Feb 4 BOS 114, HOU 93

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers