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Thunder at Magic · Sun, Jan 10 · 6:00 PM ET

Oklahoma City at Orlando. Here is where each team has the edge.

Oklahoma CityOrlando

6:00 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Thunder edges

  • On defenseOklahoma City's defense contests every shot (2nd) against an Orlando offense that struggles to shoot (25th).

Magic edges

  • On defenseOrlando's defense cleans the defensive glass (5th) against an Oklahoma City offense that rarely gets second chances (28th).

Key battles

  • Orlando's offense gets to the line (1st), but Oklahoma City's defense defends without fouling (3rd). Watch the free throws.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
OKCRankStatRankORL
119.87thOffensive rating19th115.6
108.51stDefensive rating10th115.0
+11.21stNet rating17th+0.6
98.516thPace12th99.3
56.14thEffective FG %25th53.1
10.82ndTurnover %12th12.0
22.328thOffensive rebound %18th25.0
21.313thFree throw rate1st24.9
51.92ndOpponent eFG %16th54.5
14.02ndForced turnover %11th12.6
74.411thDefensive rebound %5th75.6
18.43rdOpponent FT rate26th22.3

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Thunder6-4 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W

Magic4-6 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L

2025-26 series: Tue, Feb 3 ORL 92, OKC 128 · Tue, Mar 17 OKC 113, ORL 108

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers