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Thunder at Wizards · Thu, Jan 7 · 7:00 PM ET

Oklahoma City at Washington. Here is where each team has the edge.

Oklahoma CityWashington

7:00 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Thunder edges

  • On defenseOklahoma City's defense forces turnovers (2nd) against a Washington offense that turns it over (26th).
  • On defenseOklahoma City's defense defends without fouling (3rd) against a Washington offense that rarely gets to the line (27th).
  • On offenseOklahoma City's offense shoots efficiently (4th) against a Washington defense that gives up good looks (27th).

Wizards edges

No clear mismatch in Washington's favor.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
OKCRankStatRankWAS
119.87thOffensive rating29th111.6
108.51stDefensive rating30th123.4
+11.21stNet rating30th-11.8
98.516thPace5th100.8
56.14thEffective FG %21st53.5
10.82ndTurnover %26th13.2
22.328thOffensive rebound %21st24.1
21.313thFree throw rate27th18.0
51.92ndOpponent eFG %27th56.3
14.02ndForced turnover %22nd11.2
74.411thDefensive rebound %30th70.2
18.43rdOpponent FT rate29th23.2

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Thunder6-4 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W

Wizards0-10 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L

2025-26 series: Thu, Oct 30 WAS 108, OKC 127 · Sat, Mar 21 OKC 132, WAS 111

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers