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Heat at Pelicans · Sat, Jan 2 · 7:00 PM ET

Miami at New Orleans. Here is where each team has the edge.

MiamiNew Orleans

7:00 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Heat edges

No clear mismatch in Miami's favor.

Pelicans edges

No clear mismatch in New Orleans' favor.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
MIARankStatRankNOP
117.513thOffensive rating20th115.4
115.212thDefensive rating25th119.9
+2.313thNet rating21st-4.5
102.81stPace11th99.5
54.217thEffective FG %27th52.7
11.24thTurnover %9th11.7
25.417thOffensive rebound %8th27.0
21.214thFree throw rate6th22.2
54.07thOpponent eFG %22nd55.5
12.217thForced turnover %19th11.8
74.98thDefensive rebound %28th71.4
19.39thOpponent FT rate13th19.9

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Heat4-6 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L

Pelicans1-9 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L

2025-26 series: Sun, Jan 4 NOP 106, MIA 125 · Wed, Feb 11 MIA 123, NOP 111

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers