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Nuggets at Timberwolves · Thu, Dec 31 · 4:00 PM ET

Denver at Minnesota. Here is where each team has the edge.

Nuggets reportTimberwolves report

DenverMinnesota

4:00 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Nuggets edges

  • On offenseDenver's offense gets to the line (4th) against a Minnesota defense that sends opponents to the line (24th).

Timberwolves edges

No clear mismatch in Minnesota's favor.

Key battles

  • Denver's offense shoots efficiently (1st), but Minnesota's defense contests every shot (5th). Watch the shooting.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
DENRankStatRankMIN
123.41stOffensive rating12th117.6
118.221stDefensive rating8th114.3
+5.27thNet rating10th+3.3
97.720thPace9th99.8
57.71stEffective FG %6th55.9
10.93rdTurnover %18th12.4
23.624thOffensive rebound %15th25.7
23.74thFree throw rate10th21.5
54.314thOpponent eFG %5th52.9
10.030thForced turnover %14th12.4
75.37thDefensive rebound %20th73.7
19.610thOpponent FT rate24th22.0

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Nuggets6-4 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W

Timberwolves5-5 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W

2025-26 series: Mon, Oct 27 DEN 127, MIN 114 · Sat, Nov 15 DEN 123, MIN 112 · Thu, Dec 25 MIN 138, DEN 142 · Sun, Mar 1 MIN 117, DEN 108 · Sat, Apr 18 MIN 105, DEN 116 · Mon, Apr 20 MIN 119, DEN 114 · Thu, Apr 23 DEN 96, MIN 113 · Sat, Apr 25 DEN 96, MIN 112 · Mon, Apr 27 MIN 113, DEN 125 · Thu, Apr 30 DEN 98, MIN 110

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers