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Bucks at Thunder · Tue, Dec 29 · 8:00 PM ET

Milwaukee at Oklahoma City. Here is where each team has the edge.

MilwaukeeOklahoma City

8:00 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Bucks edges

No clear mismatch in Milwaukee's favor.

Thunder edges

  • On defenseOklahoma City's defense defends without fouling (3rd) against a Milwaukee offense that rarely gets to the line (30th).
  • On defenseOklahoma City's defense forces turnovers (2nd) against a Milwaukee offense that turns it over (27th).
  • On offenseOklahoma City's offense protects the ball (2nd) against a Milwaukee defense that rarely forces turnovers (25th).

Key battles

  • Milwaukee's offense shoots efficiently (3rd), but Oklahoma City's defense contests every shot (2nd). Watch the shooting.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
MILRankStatRankOKC
113.923rdOffensive rating7th119.8
120.227thDefensive rating1st108.5
-6.425thNet rating1st+11.2
96.823rdPace16th98.5
56.53rdEffective FG %4th56.1
13.327thTurnover %2nd10.8
21.130thOffensive rebound %28th22.3
16.330thFree throw rate13th21.3
55.825thOpponent eFG %2nd51.9
11.125thForced turnover %2nd14.0
74.115thDefensive rebound %11th74.4
21.519thOpponent FT rate3rd18.4

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Bucks3-7 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L

Thunder6-4 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. W
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. W
  10. W

2025-26 series: Wed, Jan 21 OKC 122, MIL 102 · Thu, Feb 12 MIL 110, OKC 93

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers