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Timberwolves at Warriors · Sun, Dec 27 · 8:30 PM ET

Minnesota at Golden State. Here is where each team has the edge.

MinnesotaGolden State

8:30 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Timberwolves edges

No clear mismatch in Minnesota's favor.

Warriors edges

No clear mismatch in Golden State's favor.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
MINRankStatRankGSW
117.612thOffensive rating18th115.8
114.38thDefensive rating17th116.4
+3.310thNet rating20th-0.6
99.89thPace18th98.3
55.96thEffective FG %13th54.9
12.418thTurnover %27th13.3
25.715thOffensive rebound %14th25.8
21.510thFree throw rate23rd19.2
52.95thOpponent eFG %20th55.3
12.414thForced turnover %4th13.5
73.720thDefensive rebound %22nd72.9
22.024thOpponent FT rate12th19.8

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Timberwolves5-5 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. L
  9. W
  10. W

Warriors2-8 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L

2025-26 series: Fri, Dec 12 MIN 127, GSW 120 · Sun, Jan 25 GSW 111, MIN 85 · Mon, Jan 26 GSW 83, MIN 108 · Fri, Mar 13 MIN 127, GSW 117

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers