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Hornets at Heat · Sun, Dec 27 · 6:00 PM ET

Charlotte at Miami. Here is where each team has the edge.

CharlotteMiami

6:00 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Hornets edges

No clear mismatch in Charlotte's favor.

Heat edges

No clear mismatch in Miami's favor.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
CHARankStatRankMIA
120.35thOffensive rating13th117.5
115.313thDefensive rating12th115.2
+5.08thNet rating13th+2.3
96.126thPace1st102.8
55.212thEffective FG %17th54.2
12.824thTurnover %4th11.2
30.54thOffensive rebound %17th25.4
20.018thFree throw rate14th21.2
54.07thOpponent eFG %7th54.0
11.222ndForced turnover %17th12.2
76.63rdDefensive rebound %8th74.9
18.64thOpponent FT rate9th19.3

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Hornets6-4 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L

Heat4-6 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L

2025-26 series: Tue, Oct 28 CHA 117, MIA 144 · Fri, Nov 7 CHA 108, MIA 126 · Fri, Mar 6 MIA 128, CHA 120 · Tue, Mar 17 MIA 106, CHA 136 · Tue, Apr 14 MIA 126, CHA 127

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers