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Bulls at Heat · Wed, Dec 23 · 7:30 PM ET

Chicago at Miami. Here is where each team has the edge.

ChicagoMiami

7:30 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Bulls edges

No clear mismatch in Chicago's favor.

Heat edges

  • On offenseMiami's offense protects the ball (4th) against a Chicago defense that rarely forces turnovers (29th).

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
CHIRankStatRankMIA
113.824thOffensive rating13th117.5
118.922ndDefensive rating12th115.2
-5.122ndNet rating13th+2.3
101.92ndPace1st102.8
54.714thEffective FG %17th54.2
12.722ndTurnover %4th11.2
23.127thOffensive rebound %17th25.4
19.124thFree throw rate14th21.2
55.320thOpponent eFG %7th54.0
10.629thForced turnover %17th12.2
75.56thDefensive rebound %8th74.9
19.07thOpponent FT rate9th19.3

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Bulls2-8 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L

Heat4-6 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L

2025-26 series: Fri, Nov 21 MIA 143, CHI 107 · Thu, Jan 29 MIA 116, CHI 113 · Sat, Jan 31 CHI 125, MIA 118 · Sun, Feb 1 CHI 91, MIA 134

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers