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Mavericks at Warriors · Tue, Dec 22 · 10:30 PM ET

Dallas at Golden State. Here is where each team has the edge.

DallasGolden State

10:30 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Mavericks edges

  • On defenseDallas' defense defends without fouling (2nd) against a Golden State offense that rarely gets to the line (23rd).

Warriors edges

No clear mismatch in Golden State's favor.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
DALRankStatRankGSW
111.927thOffensive rating18th115.8
117.320thDefensive rating17th116.4
-5.423rdNet rating20th-0.6
101.14thPace18th98.3
52.727thEffective FG %13th54.9
12.114thTurnover %27th13.3
23.226thOffensive rebound %14th25.8
21.79thFree throw rate23rd19.2
54.618thOpponent eFG %20th55.3
10.928thForced turnover %4th13.5
74.115thDefensive rebound %22nd72.9
18.32ndOpponent FT rate12th19.8

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Mavericks3-7 in the last 10

  1. W
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L

Warriors2-8 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L

2025-26 series: Thu, Dec 25 DAL 116, GSW 126 · Thu, Jan 22 GSW 115, DAL 123 · Mon, Mar 23 GSW 137, DAL 131

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers