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Heat at Grizzlies · Wed, Dec 16 · 8:00 PM ET

Miami at Memphis. Here is where each team has the edge.

MiamiMemphis

8:00 PM ET
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Pregame win chance

The win-chance line starts at tip-off.

Every basket moves it.

From team Elo ratings, home court and rest. How this works

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01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Heat edges

No clear mismatch in Miami's favor.

Grizzlies edges

No clear mismatch in Memphis' favor.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
MIARankStatRankMEM
117.513thOffensive rating25th113.5
115.212thDefensive rating23rd119.5
+2.313thNet rating24th-6.0
102.81stPace5th100.8
54.217thEffective FG %23rd53.3
11.24thTurnover %22nd12.7
25.417thOffensive rebound %19th24.7
21.214thFree throw rate19th19.9
54.07thOpponent eFG %26th56.2
12.217thForced turnover %8th12.8
74.98thDefensive rebound %29th70.9
19.39thOpponent FT rate14th20.3

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Heat4-6 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. W
  4. L
  5. L
  6. W
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L

Grizzlies1-9 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. W
  10. L

2025-26 series: Fri, Oct 24 MIA 146, MEM 114 · Sat, Feb 21 MEM 120, MIA 136

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers