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Tue, Nov 24 · 8:00 PM ET

CelticsatWizards

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Model vs the line

Betting tools
WAS win: books
37.8%
WAS win: Courtside
12.6%
WAS +5.5 covers
24.1%
Total (no model yet)
230.5

No lean on this game. Leans start once both teams have played 20 games, and then only when our number is well away from the books'. Early in the season a big gap usually means our model is behind. How leans work.

Consensus of 1 US sportsbook, updated 5:40 PM ET. Build a parlay.

You log in and confirm at the book or exchange yourself. Courtside never sees your account.

Analysis, not advice. Our numbers are model estimates and can be wrong; no bet is a sure thing. 21+ and only where sports betting is legal. Set a budget you can afford to lose. If gambling stops being fun, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.

01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Celtics edges

  • On defenseBoston's defense defends without fouling (5th) against a Washington offense that rarely gets to the line (27th).

Wizards edges

No clear mismatch in Washington's favor.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
BOSRankStatRankWAS
121.72ndOffensive rating29th111.6
113.54thDefensive rating30th123.4
+8.23rdNet rating30th-11.8
94.230thPace5th100.8
55.311thEffective FG %21st53.5
10.51stTurnover %26th13.2
29.26thOffensive rebound %21st24.1
16.729thFree throw rate27th18.0
52.34thOpponent eFG %27th56.3
11.026thForced turnover %22nd11.2
75.74thDefensive rebound %30th70.2
18.95thOpponent FT rate29th23.2

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Celtics5-5 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L

Wizards0-10 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. L
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L

2025-26 series: Wed, Nov 5 WAS 107, BOS 136 · Thu, Dec 4 BOS 146, WAS 101 · Sat, Mar 14 WAS 100, BOS 111

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers