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Fri, Oct 30 · 7:30 PM ET

MagicatRaptors

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Model vs the line

Betting tools
TOR win: books
57.2%
TOR win: Courtside
62.3%
TOR -3.5 covers
49.4%
Total (no model yet)
226.5

No lean on this game. Leans start once both teams have played 20 games, and then only when our number is well away from the books'. Early in the season a big gap usually means our model is behind. How leans work.

Consensus of 1 US sportsbook, updated 10:40 AM ET. Build a parlay.

You log in and confirm at the book or exchange yourself. Courtside never sees your account.

Analysis, not advice. Our numbers are model estimates and can be wrong; no bet is a sure thing. 21+ and only where sports betting is legal. Set a budget you can afford to lose. If gambling stops being fun, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.

01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Magic edges

  • On offenseOrlando's offense gets to the line (1st) against a Toronto defense that sends opponents to the line (25th).

Raptors edges

No clear mismatch in Toronto's favor.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
ORLRankStatRankTOR
115.619thOffensive rating15th117.0
115.010thDefensive rating5th114.1
+0.617thNet rating11th+2.9
99.312thPace22nd97.5
53.125thEffective FG %15th54.6
12.012thTurnover %7th11.5
25.018thOffensive rebound %16th25.5
24.91stFree throw rate17th20.4
54.516thOpponent eFG %7th54.0
12.611thForced turnover %4th13.5
75.65thDefensive rebound %18th74.0
22.326thOpponent FT rate25th22.2

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Magic4-6 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. L
  10. L

Raptors5-5 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. W
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. L
  8. W
  9. L
  10. W

2025-26 series: Mon, Dec 29 ORL 106, TOR 107 · Fri, Jan 30 TOR 120, ORL 130 · Sun, Mar 29 ORL 87, TOR 139

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers