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Courtside

Fri, Oct 30 · 7:30 PM ET

BullsatCeltics

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Model vs the line

Betting tools
BOS win: books
81.7%
BOS win: Courtside
87.2%
BOS -11.5 covers
57.5%
Total (no model yet)
232.5

No lean on this game. Leans start once both teams have played 20 games, and then only when our number is well away from the books'. Early in the season a big gap usually means our model is behind. How leans work.

Consensus of 1 US sportsbook, updated 10:40 AM ET. Build a parlay.

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Analysis, not advice. Our numbers are model estimates and can be wrong; no bet is a sure thing. 21+ and only where sports betting is legal. Set a budget you can afford to lose. If gambling stops being fun, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.

01Where the edges are

Based on 2025-26

Bulls edges

No clear mismatch in Chicago's favor.

Celtics edges

  • On offenseBoston's offense protects the ball (1st) against a Chicago defense that rarely forces turnovers (29th).
  • On defenseBoston's defense cleans the defensive glass (4th) against a Chicago offense that rarely gets second chances (27th).
  • On defenseBoston's defense defends without fouling (5th) against a Chicago offense that rarely gets to the line (24th).

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

Using last season's numbers until both teams have played 10 games this season. Rosters may have changed.

02Tale of the tape

Based on 2025-26
CHIRankStatRankBOS
113.824thOffensive rating2nd121.7
118.922ndDefensive rating4th113.5
-5.122ndNet rating3rd+8.2
101.92ndPace30th94.2
54.714thEffective FG %11th55.3
12.722ndTurnover %1st10.5
23.127thOffensive rebound %6th29.2
19.124thFree throw rate29th16.7
55.320thOpponent eFG %4th52.3
10.629thForced turnover %26th11.0
75.56thDefensive rebound %4th75.7
19.07thOpponent FT rate5th18.9

Game plan

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03Form and season series

Bulls2-8 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. W
  4. W
  5. L
  6. L
  7. L
  8. L
  9. L
  10. L

Celtics5-5 in the last 10

  1. L
  2. L
  3. L
  4. W
  5. W
  6. L
  7. W
  8. W
  9. W
  10. L

2025-26 series: Mon, Jan 5 CHI 101, BOS 115 · Sat, Jan 24 BOS 111, CHI 114 · Wed, Feb 11 CHI 105, BOS 124

04Key players

Current roster · 2025-26 numbers