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Rockets at Nuggets · Mon, Dec 15 · Regular season

Denver beat Houston, 128⁠-⁠125. Here is how the win chance moved.

Houston125Denver128

Final/OT · DEC 15
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Win chance

Loading the win-chance line…

Above the middle line the home team is favored, below it the road team. How this works

01Box score

Updated 1:12 PM ET

Houston Rockets

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVFG3PFT+/-
Kevin Durant F4425571558-142-37-8+2
Amen Thompson G-F44141260015-130-14-5-3
Jabari Smith Jr. F43161040126-114-60-0-1
Alperen Sengun F-C4233101021414-270-25-6-6
Reed Sheppard G3214312105-173-91-2+5
Josh Okogie G2816402037-92-30-1+9
Steven Adams C163000011-10-01-2-8
Aaron Holiday G103010001-11-10-0-7
Clint Capela C71200000-00-01-2-6
Team1254629781647-9312-2519-26

Denver Nuggets

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVFG3PFT+/-
Cameron Johnson F4313320005-92-51-2+8
Jamal Murray G4335350039-173-514-15-4
Nikola Jokic C4239151021413-275-98-11+1
Spencer Jones F4111302304-82-41-2+1
Tim Hardaway Jr. G4013122004-102-83-3+4
Bruce Brown G272943011-30-00-0-3
Jonas Valanciunas C148310024-50-00-0+6
Zeke Nnaji F-C92100001-20-10-0+5
Peyton Watson G65001002-41-20-0-3
Team12838241041043-8515-3427-33

02Top performers

Pre-game matchup: edges and tale of the tape

03Where the edges are

2025-26 so far

Rockets edges

No clear mismatch in Houston's favor.

Nuggets edges

No clear mismatch in Denver's favor.

Key battles

  • Denver's offense gets to the line (4th), but Houston's defense defends without fouling (5th). Watch the free throws.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

04Tale of the tape

2025-26 so far
HOURankStatRankDEN
119.68thOffensive rating1st123.4
114.27thDefensive rating21st118.2
+5.46thNet rating7th+5.2
95.229thPace20th97.7
54.217thEffective FG %1st57.7
12.620thTurnover %3rd10.9
34.81stOffensive rebound %24th23.6
19.919thFree throw rate4th23.7
53.06thOpponent eFG %14th54.3
11.621stForced turnover %30th10.0
74.59thDefensive rebound %7th75.3
18.95thOpponent FT rate10th19.6