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Nuggets at Thunder · Mon, Mar 9 · Regular season

Oklahoma City beat Denver, 129⁠-⁠126. Here is how the win chance moved.

Denver126Oklahoma City129

Final · MAR 9
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Win chance

Loading the win-chance line…

Above the middle line the home team is favored, below it the road team. How this works

01Box score

Updated 1:14 PM ET

Denver Nuggets

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVFG3PFT+/-
Nikola Jokic C4032141301312-193-65-6+2
Christian Braun G384922112-60-30-2-2
Jamal Murray G3721860109-230-43-3+5
Tim Hardaway Jr. G33282200110-168-120-2-10
Aaron Gordon F28231031016-142-49-10+14
Cameron Johnson F236310001-51-33-4+9
Spencer Jones F166500003-70-30-0-7
Bruce Brown G164310011-51-21-2-15
Jonas Valanciunas C62210001-20-00-0-8
Julian Strawther G30000000-10-00-0-3
Team126562933745-9815-3721-29

Oklahoma City Thunder

PlayerMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVFG3PFT+/-
Jaylin Williams F402912302110-177-112-4+4
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander G393591511014-213-74-4+2
Isaiah Joe G3213420205-103-80-0-3
Luguentz Dort G306401212-112-80-2-15
Ajay Mitchell G2924231009-161-45-5+11
Jared McCain G2213110004-73-52-2+19
Aaron Wiggins G183200111-30-21-2+16
Cason Wallace G174210102-60-10-0-27
Kenrich Williams G-F132120000-20-12-2+8
Team129372739347-9319-4716-21

02Top performers

Pre-game matchup: edges and tale of the tape

03Where the edges are

2025-26 so far

Nuggets edges

No clear mismatch in Denver's favor.

Thunder edges

  • On offenseOklahoma City's offense protects the ball (2nd) against a Denver defense that rarely forces turnovers (30th).

Key battles

  • Denver's offense shoots efficiently (1st), but Oklahoma City's defense contests every shot (2nd). Watch the shooting.
  • Denver's offense protects the ball (3rd), but Oklahoma City's defense forces turnovers (2nd). Watch the turnovers.
  • Denver's offense gets to the line (4th), but Oklahoma City's defense defends without fouling (3rd). Watch the free throws.

An edge is where one team ranks top 5 on a four-factor battle and the other ranks bottom 8. How edges work

04Tale of the tape

2025-26 so far
DENRankStatRankOKC
123.41stOffensive rating7th119.8
118.221stDefensive rating1st108.5
+5.27thNet rating1st+11.2
97.720thPace16th98.5
57.71stEffective FG %4th56.1
10.93rdTurnover %2nd10.8
23.624thOffensive rebound %28th22.3
23.74thFree throw rate13th21.3
54.314thOpponent eFG %2nd51.9
10.030thForced turnover %2nd14.0
75.37thDefensive rebound %11th74.4
19.610thOpponent FT rate3rd18.4