Game plans · Monday, November 23
How each team beats its opponent. Where to attack, and what to take away.
Plan any matchup
Pacers at 76ers
How the Pacers beat the 76ers
- Key scorerKey scorer: Jaylen BrownBrown (28.7 points per game): best in the paint (50% on 434 shots, league 44%), worst from midrange (40%, league 42%).
How the 76ers beat the Pacers
- AttackAttack midrangeThe 76ers shoot 43.0% from midrange (9th), and the Pacers allow 45.4% there (30th of 30).
- Key scorerKey scorer: Pascal SiakamSiakam (24.0 points per game): best in the paint (47% on 330 shots, league 44%), worst from midrange (33%, league 42%). 34% on the left side, 43% on the right; push him left.
| Zone | IND offense | PHI defense | PHI offense | IND defense |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| At the rim | 64.1% (26th) | 65.4% (14th) | 63.3% (28th) | 66.3% (17th) |
| Paint | 45.0% (15th) | 42.4% (5th) | 40.7% (25th) | 47.1% (27th) |
| Midrange | 39.8% (22nd) | 40.7% (11th) | 43.0% (9th) | 45.4% (30th) |
| Corner 3 | 37.2% (23rd) | 39.1% (20th) | 37.2% (24th) | 39.4% (22nd) |
| Above-the-break 3 | 35.1% (15th) | 33.8% (3rd) | 34.2% (22nd) | 34.2% (8th) |
Matchups on Mon, Nov 23
- Grizzlies at Hornets
How the Grizzlies beat the Hornets
- GlassFinish possessions: box outThe Hornets grab 30.5% of their misses (4th) and the Grizzlies rank 29th on the defensive glass (70.9%).
- Take awayTake away the above-the-break 337.3% of Hornets shots come from above the break (2nd most) and they make 36.3% (5th). The Grizzlies defense there ranks 18th (35.2% allowed).
How the Hornets beat the Grizzlies
- GlassCrash the offensive glassThe Hornets grab 30.5% of their misses (4th), and the Grizzlies rank 29th on the defensive glass (70.9%).
- AttackAttack the corner 3The Hornets shoot 42.8% from the corners (3rd), and the Grizzlies allow 39.6% there (23rd of 30).
- Trail Blazers at 76ers
How the Trail Blazers beat the 76ers
- GlassCrash the offensive glassThe Trail Blazers grab 31.3% of their misses (2nd), and the 76ers rank 26th on the defensive glass (72.5%).
- TurnoversTake care of the ballThe 76ers force turnovers on 12.8% of plays (8th) and the Trail Blazers give it away on 14.0% (30th of 30).
How the 76ers beat the Trail Blazers
- GlassFinish possessions: box outThe Trail Blazers grab 31.3% of their misses (2nd) and the 76ers rank 26th on the defensive glass (72.5%).
- TurnoversPressure the ballThe 76ers force turnovers on 12.8% of plays (8th), and the Trail Blazers give it away on 14.0% (30th of 30).
- Thunder at Pacers
How the Thunder beat the Pacers
- AttackAttack midrangeThe Thunder shoot 48.1% from midrange (1st), and the Pacers allow 45.4% there (30th of 30).
- AttackAttack the paintThe Thunder shoot 46.1% in the paint (7th), and the Pacers allow 47.1% there (27th of 30).
How the Pacers beat the Thunder
- Key scorerKey scorer: Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderGilgeous-Alexander (31.1 points per game): best from midrange (54% on 332 shots, league 42%), worst from above the break (39%, league 35%).
- Bucks at Raptors
How the Bucks beat the Raptors
- TurnoversTake care of the ballThe Raptors force turnovers on 13.5% of plays (4th) and the Bucks give it away on 13.3% (27th of 30).
- Key scorerKey scorer: Kawhi LeonardLeonard (27.9 points per game): best in the paint (55% on 339 shots, league 44%), worst from above the break (38%, league 35%).
How the Raptors beat the Bucks
- Key scorerKey scorer: Tyler HerroHerro (20.5 points per game): best in the paint (58% on 165 shots, league 44%), worst from midrange (36%, league 42%).
- Take awayTake away the corner 313.4% of Bucks shots come from the corners (3rd most) and they make 42.9% (2nd). The Raptors defense there ranks 14th (38.6% allowed).
- Nets at Timberwolves
How the Nets beat the Timberwolves
- AttackAttack the corner 311.5% of Nets shots come from the corners (9th most), and the Timberwolves allow 40.7% there (26th of 30).
- Key scorerKey scorer: Anthony EdwardsEdwards (28.8 points per game): best from the corners (46% on 54 shots, league 39%), worst from midrange (44%, league 42%).
How the Timberwolves beat the Nets
- AttackAttack the above-the-break 3The Timberwolves shoot 36.5% from above the break (3rd), and the Nets allow 36.4% there (28th of 30).
- Key scorerKey scorer: Michael Porter Jr.Porter (24.2 points per game): best at the rim (75% on 227 shots, league 66%), worst from the corners (32%, league 39%).
- Cavaliers at Bulls
How the Cavaliers beat the Bulls
- AttackAttack the above-the-break 333.3% of Cavaliers shots come from above the break (7th most), and the Bulls allow 36.6% there (29th of 30).
- AttackAttack midrangeThe Cavaliers shoot 44.5% from midrange (4th), and the Bulls allow 43.1% there (25th of 30).
How the Bulls beat the Cavaliers
- Key scorerKey scorer: Donovan MitchellMitchell (27.9 points per game): best in the paint (55% on 309 shots, league 44%), worst at the rim (64%, league 66%). 39% on the left side, 45% on the right; push him left.
- AttackAttack the corner 312.0% of Bulls shots come from the corners (6th most), and the Cavaliers allow 40.1% there (25th of 30).
- Suns at Pelicans
How the Suns beat the Pelicans
- TargetTarget this lineupWhen Bey, Murphy, McGowens, Fears and Queen share the floor (96 min), they allow 132.1 per 100, against 119.9 for the team: attack it.
- Key scorerKey scorer: Trey Murphy IIIMurphy (21.5 points per game): best from the corners (49% on 59 shots, league 39%), worst in the paint (38%, league 44%).
How the Pelicans beat the Suns
- AttackAttack the rim40.4% of Pelicans shots come at the rim (1st most), and the Suns allow 67.9% there (23rd of 30).
- GlassFinish possessions: box outThe Suns grab 28.9% of their misses (7th) and the Pelicans rank 28th on the defensive glass (71.4%).
- Clippers at Rockets
How the Clippers beat the Rockets
- Key scorerKey scorer: Kevin DurantDurant (26.0 points per game): best in the paint (59% on 393 shots, league 44%), worst from above the break (40%, league 35%).
- Take awayTake away the paint23.5% of Rockets shots come in the paint (2nd most) and they make 47.2% (6th). The Clippers defense there ranks 10th (43.5% allowed).
How the Rockets beat the Clippers
- Key scorerKey scorer: Brandon IngramIngram (21.5 points per game): best from the corners (52% on 93 shots, league 39%), worst from above the break (33%, league 35%).
- AttackAttack the above-the-break 3The Rockets shoot 36.1% from above the break (7th), and the Clippers allow 35.6% there (22nd of 30).
- Jazz at Lakers
How the Jazz beat the Lakers
- Key scorerKey scorer: Luka DoncicDoncic (33.5 points per game): best at the rim (79% on 174 shots, league 66%), worst from midrange (44%, league 42%).
- Take awayTake away the paint21.5% of Lakers shots come in the paint (7th most) and they make 48.8% (1st). The Jazz defense there ranks 30th (48.8% allowed).
How the Lakers beat the Jazz
- AttackAttack the rimThe Lakers shoot 73.4% at the rim (1st), and the Jazz allow 72.0% there (30th of 30).
- AttackAttack the paintThe Lakers shoot 48.8% in the paint (1st), and the Jazz allow 48.8% there (30th of 30).
- Spurs at Kings
How the Spurs beat the Kings
- AttackAttack the rim32.3% of Spurs shots come at the rim (7th most), and the Kings allow 69.8% there (28th of 30).
- Take awayTake away the paint26.4% of Kings shots come in the paint (1st most) and they make 45.7% (9th). The Spurs defense there ranks 7th (42.5% allowed).
How the Kings beat the Spurs
- AttackAttack midrange15.1% of Kings shots come from midrange (1st most), and the Spurs allow 42.5% there (22nd of 30).
- Key scorerKey scorer: Victor WembanyamaWembanyama (25.0 points per game): best at the rim (75% on 389 shots, league 66%), worst from midrange (39%, league 42%).
How this works
Each plan is a short list of rules applied to both teams' season numbers. Every item shows its numbers and ranks out of 30 so you can check it. At most 5 items per team, the biggest edges first.
- Attack: a shot zone where the team is good (top 10 in FG% or in share of its shots) and the opponent's defense there is bottom 8 in FG% allowed (bottom 10 if that finds fewer than 2).
- Take away: the opponent's favorite zone (top 5 in share, top 8 if fewer than 2 qualify) where they are also efficient (top 10 FG%), with the team's own defensive rank there.
- Target: of the opponent's 5 most-used lineups, the one that allows the most points per 100 possessions, with at least 100 possessions and at least 3 points worse than the team's own defensive rating. All 5 players must still be on the team.
- Key scorer: the opponent's top scorer on the current roster (100+ shots). Best and worst zones compare his FG% with the league average there (50+ shots per zone). A side lean shows only when he has 60+ shots on each side and a gap of 6+ points. Left and right are as our shot charts draw them (rim at the bottom), and shots at the rim are left out of the side split.
- Tempo and glass: a pace gap of 2+ possessions per 48 minutes; offensive rebounding, defensive rebounding and turnovers when one team is top 5 and the other bottom 5 (widened to 8 when fewer than 2 edges show up).
Data: team zones come from every counted regular season shot (made and missed; backcourt heaves left out; left and right corner 3s combined). Defense zones use the shots each team allowed. Lineups come from our play-by-play lineup stints. Before a team has played 10 games this season, its plan uses last season's numbers with today's roster, and lineups that no longer exist are skipped.
What it cannot see: there is no tracking data, so no defender distance, individual matchups or play types (pick and roll, isolation, post ups). Team zone numbers include every player a team used, even ones who have left. Injuries and rest are not in the plan, and season numbers can hide a recent change in form.